Publications & Presentations

For more on my research in-progress, check out my GitHub, SSRN, and Arxiv postings

Paine, J (2026). Speculative Bubbles and Control Theory - An Endogenous Approach. System Dynamics Review. https://doi.org/10.1002/sdr.70021
Video Summary: https://youtu.be/4NLKL0_bEIY

Paine, J (2023). Dynamic Supply Chains with Endogenous Dispositions. System Dynamics Review. https://doi.org/10.1002/sdr.1725

Paine, J (2023). Essays on Dynamic Supply Chains and Service Delivery Systems. Thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the MIT PhD in System Dynamics. https://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/151220

Keith, D., Taylor, L., Paine, J. (2022). When Funders Aren’t Customers: Explaining Capability Under-Investment in Multi-Audience Organizations. Organization Science.  https://doi.org/10.1287/orsc.2022.1579

Paine, J. (September 2020). Taming the Bull - Algorithmic Intervention to Mitigate Inventory and Ordering Amplification in Multi-Echelon Supply Chains. Thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the MIT SM in Management. https://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/129114

Paine, J. (January 2020). RES.15-004. System Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Massachusetts Institute of Technology: MIT OpenCourseWare, https://ocw.mit.edu. License: Creative Commons BY-NC-SA, 2020

Paine, J., Unpublished provisional patent, HanesBrands Proprietary Information, “Method to Iteratively Derive Optimal Minimum Number of Assortments from a Larger Population of Sized Garments.” Applied April 2017

Paine, J. et al. “Column geometry to maximize elution efficiencies for molybdenum-99.” Canadian Patent Office CA2735612, European Patent Office EP2375421, United States PTO US9240253. First issued Jan 19, 2016

Paine, J. Unpublished provisional patent, GE and GNF Proprietary Information, “Elution Mechanisms for Irradiated Molybdenum-99 for the Production of Medical-Grade Technetium”. Applied Jan 2010

Paine, J. (2025). Simpler is (Sometimes) Better: A Comparison of Cost Reducing Agent Architectures in a Simulated Behaviorally-Driven Multi-Echelon Supply Chain. Work-in-Progress. https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=4244188

Paine, J. (2022). Rearranging the Deck Chairs on the Titanic: A Simulation Model of Behavioral Resource Utilization Under Crisis. Work-in-Progress. https://github.com/jpain3/Rearranging-the-Deck-Chairs

Paine, J. (2022). Behaviorally Grounded Model-Based and Model Free Cost Reduction in a Simulated Multi-Echelon Supply Chain. Working Paper. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2202.12786. https://github.com/jpain3/Taming-the-Bull

Lopez, J. and Paine, J. The Evolution of Trust in Supply Chains: A Feedback Approach. Working paper. Current write-up and supporting models

Transforming Business Education for Flourishing. Invitation-only Academy of Management pre-conference convening, held at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania (July 2026)

Structural Causes and Behavioral Amplifiers – Breaking the Rules in the Beer Game. Invited panel and talk in the Teaching Innovations session at the 2026 Manufacturing & Service Operations (MSOM) Conference in Harvard Business School, Cambridge, MA. (July 2026).

When a graph becomes real: The ups and downs of Bullwhip. Invited flash talk at the Bucknell Quantitative Data Literacy Day presented by the Dominguez Center for Data Science. (May 2026)

Simple is (Sometimes) Better. Invited presentation as part of the ‘Dynamics of Behavioral Operations’ session at the 2025 Decisions Sciences Institute Annual Conference in Orlando, FL. (November 2025)

An Endogenized Controller Design for Speculative Market Dynamics. Contributed presentation as part of the ‘Asset Pricing and Market Behavior’ session 2025 INFORMS Annual Meeting in Atlanta GA. (October 2025)

An Endogenized Controller Design for Speculative Market Dynamics. Poster presented at the 2025 Manufacturing & Service Operations (MSOM) Conference in London, England. (June 2025).

Speculative Market Dynamics using Classical Control Theory. Invited presentation as part of the ‘POMS-Economics Interface’ track at the 35th Annual POMS Conference in Atlanta, GA. (May 2025).

Trust Dynamics in Supply Chain Capacity Decisions. Invited presentation as part of the ‘Empirical Research in OM’ track at the 35th Annual POMS Conference in Atlanta, GA. Presented along with Lopez, J., and Hyndman, K. (May 2025)

Rearranging the Deck Chairs: A Simulation Model of Behavioral Resource Utilization Under Crisis. Presented during the 'Behavioral, Terror, and Infrastructure Dynamics' parallel session at the 2024 International System Dynamics Conference in Bergen, Norway (August 2024)

Rearranging the Deck Chairs: A Simulation Model of Behavioral Resource Utilization Under Crisis. Invited presentation in  the 'Energy and Natural Resources Management' session at the 34th Annual POMS Conference in Minneapolis, MN. (April 2024)

Flavors of the Month: Comparing and Operational and General Approaches. Presentation of working paper at the 2023 International System Dynamics Conference, Chicago Illinois. July 2023.

Rearranging The Deck Chairs On The Titanic: A Simulation Model Of Behavioral Resource Utilization Under Crisis. Poster presentation at the 2022 INFORMS Annual Meeting. Indianapolis, Indiana. October 2022. Poster viewable here.

The Intersections and Boundaries Between Behavioral Model-based And Fully Model-free Cost Minimizing Agents in a Simulated Multi-Echelon Supply Chain. Presentation of working paper at the 2022 INFORMS Annual Meeting. Indianapolis, Indiana. October 2022. 

Applying an Endogenized PID Controller Design to Speculative Bubble Formation. Presentation of working paper at the 2022 International System Dynamics Conference, Frankfurt Germany. July 2022. Video Presentation here.

Model-Based and Model Free Cost Reduction in a Simulated Multi-Echelon Supply Chain. Presentation of working paper at the 2022 International System Dynamics Conference, Frankfurt Geramany. July 2022. Video Presentation here.

Modeling Dynamic Supply Chains with Endogenous Allocations and Market Clearing. Poster Presentation at the 2021 Society for Judgement and Decision Making Annual Meeting. February 2022. Poster viewable here.

Model-Based vs Model-Free Approaches to Algorithmic Interventions in Multi-Echelon Supply Chains. Presentation of working paper at the 2021 INFORMS Annual Meeting, Virutally Conducted. October 2021. Video Presentation here.

Dynamic Supply Chains with Endogenous Allocation. Presentation of working paper at the 2021 International System Dynamics Conference, Virtually Conducted. July 2021. Video Presentation here.

Paucity and Plenty in a Bifurcated Supply Chain. Presentation of working paper at the 2021 POMS Conference, Virutaly Conducted. May 2021. Video Presentation here.

Interpretable Algorithmic Intervention to Mitigate Inventory And Ordering Amplification in Multi-Echelon Supply Chains. Presentation of 2nd Year MIT Thesis Paper at the 2020 INFORMS Annual Meeting, Virtually Conducted. November 2020. Video Presentation here.

Taming the Bull - Algorithmic Intervention to Mitigate Inventory and Ordering Amplification in Multi-Echelon Supply Chains. Presentation of 2nd Year MIT Thesis Paper at the 2020 International System Dynamics Society Conference. July 2020

The Perniciousness of Scale. With Keith, D. Presentation of working paper at the 2019 Industry Studies Association Annual Conference, Nashville, TN. May 2019.

Organizational Poverty in Poverty Organizations. With Keith, D. and Taylor, L.. Presentation of working paper at the 2019 Industry Studies Association Annual Conference, Nashville, TN. May 2019.

Taming the Bull - Mitigation of Inventory and Ordering Amplification in Multi-Echelon Supply Chains via Interpretable Machine Learning. Presentation of research proposal presented at The 38th System Dynamics PhD Colloquium, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, Worcester, MA. May 2019.

Organizational Poverty in Poverty Organizations. With Taylor L. Presentation of research presented at the System Dynamics Seminar Series, MIT Sloan School of Management, Cambridge, MA. 2019

What keeps nonprofits from investing in capacity? Presentation of research presented at The 37th Annual System Dynamics PhD Colloquium, MIT Sloan School of Management, Cambridge, MA. 2018

Green Recalls. White Paper written for Inmar Intelligent Commerce Networks, forming the basis for a presentation at the 2013 Inmar Analytics Forum in Winston-Salem, NC given by Doug Witter and Mark Vare. 2014